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	<title>Comments on: Community Projections: Beltre, Ibanez, and Ichiro</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/</link>
	<description>Seattle Mariners blog and general baseball discussion</description>
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		<title>By: JI</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164985</link>
		<dc:creator>JI</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Feb 2007 01:49:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164985</guid>
		<description>Wow. Dave and I must think alike-- at least on these three players.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow. Dave and I must think alike&#8211; at least on these three players.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164983</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Feb 2007 01:25:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164983</guid>
		<description>There&#039;s also the fact that the community is proving so far to be quite bullish on practically the entire offense.  It&#039;s not just Ichiro - USSM/LL readers have projected improvements from every player we&#039;ve done except Ibanez, and even his projected decline isn&#039;t very steep.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s also the fact that the community is proving so far to be quite bullish on practically the entire offense.  It&#8217;s not just Ichiro &#8211; USSM/LL readers have projected improvements from every player we&#8217;ve done except Ibanez, and even his projected decline isn&#8217;t very steep.</p>
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		<title>By: DMZ</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164977</link>
		<dc:creator>DMZ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Feb 2007 00:47:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164977</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s entirely possible - and I don&#039;t want to speak too much to motivations of the crowd - that people see Ichiro as likely to perform well in a contract year, and there&#039;s been some studies to show that players do indeed do better than you&#039;d normally expect in these situations.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s entirely possible &#8211; and I don&#8217;t want to speak too much to motivations of the crowd &#8211; that people see Ichiro as likely to perform well in a contract year, and there&#8217;s been some studies to show that players do indeed do better than you&#8217;d normally expect in these situations.</p>
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		<title>By: Churchill</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164973</link>
		<dc:creator>Churchill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Feb 2007 00:38:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164973</guid>
		<description>Boy, all of you liked Ichiro better than I do this year.

Too much attention on him about a contract, and he just isn&#039;t the player he was four years ago... two years ago even.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Boy, all of you liked Ichiro better than I do this year.</p>
<p>Too much attention on him about a contract, and he just isn&#8217;t the player he was four years ago&#8230; two years ago even.</p>
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		<title>By: tangotiger</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164951</link>
		<dc:creator>tangotiger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2007 22:06:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164951</guid>
		<description>Fielding stats for Ibanez are at the bottom of this page:
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/I/raul-ibanez.shtml

Looks like 127 games as a catcher until 1996, with the bulk in 94-95.  20% of his minor league games were as a catcher.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fielding stats for Ibanez are at the bottom of this page:<br />
<a href="http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/I/raul-ibanez.shtml" rel="nofollow">http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/I/raul-ibanez.shtml</a></p>
<p>Looks like 127 games as a catcher until 1996, with the bulk in 94-95.  20% of his minor league games were as a catcher.</p>
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		<title>By: Safeco Hobo</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164949</link>
		<dc:creator>Safeco Hobo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2007 21:59:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164949</guid>
		<description>In 92&#039; Raul caught 2 games (in AZ fall league)
In 93&#039; he caught 24 games
In 94&#039; he caught 37 games 
In 95&#039; he caught 63 games and 
In 96&#039; he caught 1 game

I have no clue about how much more difficult it is to catch a game as apposed to playing left field or first base or whatever.  Obviously, its harder on the body.  I also have no clue as to whether catching 127 games in the minors over a period of four years is considered light duty or not?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In 92&#8242; Raul caught 2 games (in AZ fall league)<br />
In 93&#8242; he caught 24 games<br />
In 94&#8242; he caught 37 games<br />
In 95&#8242; he caught 63 games and<br />
In 96&#8242; he caught 1 game</p>
<p>I have no clue about how much more difficult it is to catch a game as apposed to playing left field or first base or whatever.  Obviously, its harder on the body.  I also have no clue as to whether catching 127 games in the minors over a period of four years is considered light duty or not?</p>
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		<title>By: Ralph Malph</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164943</link>
		<dc:creator>Ralph Malph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2007 21:10:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164943</guid>
		<description>I hate to nitpick (actually that&#039;s not true), but Ibanez really didn&#039;t do that much catching in the minors.

He caught parts of 3 seasons (93-94-95) but never caught after 1995, when he was 23.  I can&#039;t find defensive stats so I don&#039;t know how many games he actually caught but he never played more than 95 games in a minor league season up to that point.  In the 3 seasons, or partial seasons, that he was listed as a catcher he played a total of 229 games.  I suspect he did some DH-ing along with catching back then, so I doubt he caught that many games.  These stats are from thebaseballcube; I don&#039;t know if there&#039;s a better source of minor league stats.

He didn&#039;t play full time in the Lou years -- 98-99-00 -- but I wouldn&#039;t think that has much to do with how he is performing now or how he&#039;s likely to age.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I hate to nitpick (actually that&#8217;s not true), but Ibanez really didn&#8217;t do that much catching in the minors.</p>
<p>He caught parts of 3 seasons (93-94-95) but never caught after 1995, when he was 23.  I can&#8217;t find defensive stats so I don&#8217;t know how many games he actually caught but he never played more than 95 games in a minor league season up to that point.  In the 3 seasons, or partial seasons, that he was listed as a catcher he played a total of 229 games.  I suspect he did some DH-ing along with catching back then, so I doubt he caught that many games.  These stats are from thebaseballcube; I don&#8217;t know if there&#8217;s a better source of minor league stats.</p>
<p>He didn&#8217;t play full time in the Lou years &#8212; 98-99-00 &#8212; but I wouldn&#8217;t think that has much to do with how he is performing now or how he&#8217;s likely to age.</p>
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		<title>By: tangotiger</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164929</link>
		<dc:creator>tangotiger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2007 20:10:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164929</guid>
		<description>Manz: http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/run_impact_in_parks/

And post #13 in the above link has the data in one place.

You can also see this data
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/S/PK_SEA03.htm</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Manz: <a href="http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/run_impact_in_parks/" rel="nofollow">http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/run_impact_in_parks/</a></p>
<p>And post #13 in the above link has the data in one place.</p>
<p>You can also see this data<br />
<a href="http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/S/PK_SEA03.htm" rel="nofollow">http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/S/PK_SEA03.htm</a></p>
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		<title>By: Manzanillos Cup</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164925</link>
		<dc:creator>Manzanillos Cup</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2007 19:50:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164925</guid>
		<description>Is it fair to say that Safeco curbs offense by about 7%?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is it fair to say that Safeco curbs offense by about 7%?</p>
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		<title>By: DMZ</title>
		<link>http://www.ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/comment-page-1/#comment-164922</link>
		<dc:creator>DMZ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2007 19:42:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ussmariner.com/2007/02/21/community-projections-beltre-ibanez-and-ichiro/#comment-164922</guid>
		<description>As a GM? Dead last. Except he&#039;s not a GM.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As a GM? Dead last. Except he&#8217;s not a GM.</p>
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