Comments on: Deep, deep sabermetrics http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/ Seattle Mariners blog and general baseball discussion Thu, 09 Feb 2012 23:35:08 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3 By: turkeycave http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266723 turkeycave Mon, 05 May 2008 18:24:53 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266723 Does this information in any way change the leverage considerations of earlier inning situations? If one run can make such a significant change in winning expectancy, does it make sense to consider "small ball" strategies earlier in games than is normally acceptable to modern baseball strategists? Does this information in any way change the leverage considerations of earlier inning situations? If one run can make such a significant change in winning expectancy, does it make sense to consider “small ball” strategies earlier in games than is normally acceptable to modern baseball strategists?

]]> By: HamNasty http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266308 HamNasty Sat, 03 May 2008 14:51:30 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266308 Awesome post DMZ, guessing it was partially inspired by my comment at the end of the game thread. Since they are 4-15 in games when they score 4 or less are was blaming it on luck? The offense? Or a sad combination of both where the offense needs to stop sucking and we need lady luck on our side? Awesome post DMZ, guessing it was partially inspired by my comment at the end of the game thread. Since they are 4-15 in games when they score 4 or less are was blaming it on luck? The offense? Or a sad combination of both where the offense needs to stop sucking and we need lady luck on our side?

]]> By: Mat http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266301 Mat Sat, 03 May 2008 08:52:30 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266301 <i>I can’t believe a team wins as many as 7.7% of games where they score only 1 run. Feels high to me, but hey, the numbers don’t lie yatta yatta.</i> Probably one reason it seems high is that there ought to be some degree of correlation between the winning and losing run total. If the winner had a hard time scoring runs, it could be at least in part due to bad weather that day, or playing in a pitcher's park--both of which would also make it hard for the losing team to score runs. I can’t believe a team wins as many as 7.7% of games where they score only 1 run. Feels high to me, but hey, the numbers don’t lie yatta yatta.

Probably one reason it seems high is that there ought to be some degree of correlation between the winning and losing run total. If the winner had a hard time scoring runs, it could be at least in part due to bad weather that day, or playing in a pitcher’s park–both of which would also make it hard for the losing team to score runs.

]]> By: DMZ http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266296 DMZ Sat, 03 May 2008 06:36:26 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266296 It doesn't leave out the time they got shut out -- it gets counted in the '1' bin because of the way the Excel histogram's built. It doesn’t leave out the time they got shut out — it gets counted in the ’1′ bin because of the way the Excel histogram’s built.

]]> By: Colm http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266295 Colm Sat, 03 May 2008 06:02:40 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266295 So that's 19 games where they've scored four or fewer vs 10 where they've scored 5 or more. And after tonight's game that's 20:10. It seems were lucky this team's even got a 13-17 record. So that’s 19 games where they’ve scored four or fewer vs 10 where they’ve scored 5 or more. And after tonight’s game that’s 20:10.

It seems were lucky this team’s even got a 13-17 record.

]]> By: teacherrefpoet http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266293 teacherrefpoet Sat, 03 May 2008 05:20:18 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266293 I can't believe a team wins as many as 7.7% of games where they score only 1 run. Feels high to me, but hey, the numbers don't lie yatta yatta. That graph leaves off the M's one time being shut out, no? I can’t believe a team wins as many as 7.7% of games where they score only 1 run. Feels high to me, but hey, the numbers don’t lie yatta yatta.

That graph leaves off the M’s one time being shut out, no?

]]> By: Sentinel http://www.ussmariner.com/2008/05/02/deep-deep-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-266288 Sentinel Sat, 03 May 2008 04:50:48 +0000 http://ussmariner.com/?p=5116#comment-266288 Interesting way to look at it. I've never seen it broken down that way. So, what kind of improvements can they make to eke out one or two more runs per game? I'm sure having a little more team speed wouldn't hurt. Maybe a little more patience at the plate, as a team. Everyone seems to think they have Ichiro's ability to put the bat to the ball. Interesting way to look at it. I’ve never seen it broken down that way.

So, what kind of improvements can they make to eke out one or two more runs per game? I’m sure having a little more team speed wouldn’t hurt. Maybe a little more patience at the plate, as a team. Everyone seems to think they have Ichiro’s ability to put the bat to the ball.

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