Comments on: Baseball projection crosses over

By: joser

joser — Sun, 01 Jun 2008 15:50:28 +0000

Ugh, politics. The only thing that has inspired more idiotic bar arguments than sports.

It’s like the sewage treatment plant: it’s necessary for the functioning of society, but I want to think about it as little as possible and I certainly don’t want to get my nose up to poke and prod and examaine all the little details.

By: Jay R.

Jay R. — Sat, 31 May 2008 15:29:07 +0000

Small worlds! I have glanced at 538 a few times, and seen it quoted/linked a few dozen more. I had no idea it was Nate. No wonder it is so well done, and so accurate.

By: Trev

Trev — Sat, 31 May 2008 07:20:03 +0000

I visit http://electoral-vote.com/ for my election info. I’d seen 538, but was overwhelmed by the data presentation. Now that it’s Silver I guess it’s time to look a little closer.

I can’t wait for the new statheads vs. luddites war to break out. Talking heads vs. regression analysis…brilliant!

By: BlazerD

BlazerD — Sat, 31 May 2008 01:07:36 +0000

Oh my God. I didn’t even realize that Silver was Poblano. I knew that 538 is Poblano’s site but I assumed Silver was just a guest or something.

“And that’s why you’re always supposed to open the link…”

By: BlazerD

BlazerD — Sat, 31 May 2008 01:04:14 +0000

538 is a great site, DMZ. You should also check out Al Giordano’s “The Field” over on rural votes, it’s helped me get this far (halfway!).

Didn’t you mention that you were a delegate awhile back?

By: Rusty

Rusty — Fri, 30 May 2008 22:58:54 +0000

Well, I think it’s safe to say that if DMZ and Dave never caught the connection between the two, then his cover was likely never blown.

Very cool fact.

By: Brian Rust

Brian Rust — Fri, 30 May 2008 22:10:45 +0000

Actually, that article doesn’t link to fivethirtyeight.com, it cites. But still, it’s pretty cool.

By: Brian Rust

Brian Rust — Fri, 30 May 2008 22:03:45 +0000

Wow, and I stumble on a link on the same day. Too scary. Today, baseball. Tomorrow THE WORLD. BWAAHAHAHA.

By: SoulofaCitizen

SoulofaCitizen — Fri, 30 May 2008 21:15:41 +0000

Interesting how many people on this site follow and are involved in politics as well as baseball. Although my wife teased me that both pursuits bring out my obsessiveness, I was also delighted to learn this. In fact Poblano/Silver’s analysis of potential turnout impact is driving some projects I’m working on with the hope of benefitting Obama in November.

Maybe Bavasi needs to read this story too…

Paul Loeb
Author Soul of a Citizen & The Impossible Will Take a Little While
http://www.paulloeb.org

By: djw

djw — Fri, 30 May 2008 19:40:42 +0000

Yeah, learning that Poblano was Silver was a real forehead slapping moment. The methological similarities between PECOTA and his method didn’t occur to me at all for some reason.