October 27, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

Baseball Prospectus Radio’s got some clips from this first, great season, and check it out, this interview with Scribbly Tate is priceless.

October 27, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

We’re going to start nailing down the details of the U.S.S. Mariner Feed, so if you would like to attend and haven’t emailed us yet, you should do so. The date is tentatively scheduled for December 20th, and we’ve got a good amount of Mariner fans getting together to talk baseball. Follow the link above for more information.

October 27, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

Speaking of which, a reader emailed me about this, so in the spirit of the “Free Durazo” (et al) campaigns: “Don’t free Al Martin!”

October 27, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

ESPN’s running a nice free agent tracker. Al Martin has already filed.

October 26, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

Mea culpa. Minaya obviously has not accepted a position with the Mets, and confirmed today that he would not. My information was inaccurate. Sorry about that.

October 26, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

Folks, I’m happy to announce that Jason was so impressed with the short I wrote (“The Analysts” available now for your free viewing pleasure in the sub-500k versions) that he has given it his full endorsement. I don’t know what more encouragement you need.

October 26, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

The New York Times is reporting that Minaya’s staying put, so I’m not sure what’s happening for sure. I mean jeez, it’s not like the Paper of Record is ever wrong, or anything.

Seriously though, I don’t know what’s up.

Here’s something to think about though: one of the points currently raised by almost all of Minaya’s proponents is that you can’t evaluate him fairly because of the constraints placed on him in Montreal. Let’s take that as true for a second, and further, pretend we can’t say anything about his previous record with the Mets, which was undistinguished.

Say Jason and I went to an electronics store. I’m looking to buy a new DVD player.

“Hey, Jason,” I say, “I have found five DVD players that look like they’re good candidates, and are all priced within my budget.”

“Great,” Jason says, “let us discuss which of these five DVD players, which I agree are all good, would be an ideal DVD player for your needs.”

“No, no,” I reply. “I have decided to buy this sixth DVD player, which is over here.”

“It’s not hooked up,” Jason protests. “There’s no feature list. We don’t know anything about this one.”

“You can’t hold that against it. It’s clearly the best DVD player available to us.”

“You can’t play any DVDs on it, because it’s not hooked up.”

“Again, it’s unfair to this player to penalize it for the situation it’s in. I’m going to buy it.”

“You have excellent information on the five good players — you’re sure they’re all going to be great choices, it’s just a matter of figuring out the strengths and weaknesses of each one. This unknown one could be terrible.”

“Could be excellent, too, full of strengths, and no weaknesses. I imagine it transforms into a robot when not in use and guards your house.”

“Why would you believe that? That’s entirely unreasonable.”

“How do you know that?”

If you believe that it’s unfair to evaluate Minaya on the basis of his time with the Expos, and you’re wrong to think so, you should still recognize that not knowing enough about Minaya does not make him a better candidate than the others.

It’s like drafting players, to start another analogy: should you spend your first round draft pick on someone you’ve spent time scouting and discussing, or should you use it on someone you weren’t able to get any scouts out to, you can’t get stats on, or even see video of, because there’s some moderate buzz around them? Of course not.

This Minaya cheerleading demonstrates the natural human desire to look at the unknown and use imagination, and has no relation to Minaya’s actual demonstrated abilities.

October 25, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

Yay Marlins.

Also, don’t forget to set your clocks back tonight. Let’s hear it for an extra hour of sleep!

October 25, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

Start dancing in the streets; Omar Minaya is no longer a candidate for the M’s job. He has accepted a position with the NY Mets, where he will likely share duties with Jim Duquette.

DePodesta possibly getting interviewed, Minaya being hired, and both the Reds (Dan O’Brien got hired) and Mets filling their open spots. Talk about a good day.

October 25, 2003 · Filed Under Mariners · Comments Off on  

The Seattle Times (“Paper of Quality”) reports the A’s said the M’s couldn’t interview Beane, and the team’s thinking about looking at DePodesta. In other news, it looks like Athletics pitching coach Rick Peterson may move to the Mets, and I can’t stress enough how huge this could be. Peterson is as responsible for the A’s run as anyone, by keeping their big arms healthy and effective through an injury prevention that almost no one else in the majors is close to. While the A’s claim that theirs is an organizational approach, that any of the big minds could leave and the org could keep on chugging. With DePodesta acting like he’s already gone, Beane looking for an out, and Peterson on his way, this is a claim that will be tested soon.

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