The Magglio deal
The Tigers are reportedly going to announce the signing of Magglio Ordonez to a 5 year, $75 million contract on Monday. You may remember Ordonez from earlier in the offseason, when there were rumors he’d have to settle for a one year contract after skipping out on his workout to prove to teams that his knee-you know, the one he flew to Europe to have experimental surgery on-was sound and would allow him to play. Or, you may remember Ordonez from his .292/.351/.485 line from 2004, which when translated for park effects, gave him a .281 EqA. Other corner outfielders who posted similar EqA’s last year include the immortal Craig Monroe, Jayson Werth, Dustan Mohr, and Charles Thomas. For a Mariner comparison, Raul Ibanez’s EqA was .291 and Randy Winn’s was .281.
But, that’s not really fair to Ordonez, right? He was hurt, after all, and from 2000-2003, he was remarkably consistent, posting EqA’s between .292 and .313. In 2003, he was more similar to guys like Dmitri Young, Trot Nixon, and Aubrey Huff. Unfortunately, Ordonez just turned 31, so his best days are most likely behind him, and we can expect him to decline from his peak value a bit.
In other words, even if he was healthy, we’d expect to him to be a little worse than the Nixon/Huff group of hitters, more comparable to Ibanez or Kevin Mench or Rondell White. And the Tigers just gave him a contract worth more than what Vladimir Guerrero received last offseason, more than J.D. Drew or Adrian Beltre received this offseason.
This isn’t just the worst deal of this offseason. This might be the worst free agent signing ever.