A review of the first week
Seven games is still a ridiculous sample size, and what follows probably doesn’t mean anything in the grand scheme of things, but it could be interesting anyways.
The Mariners as a team are hitting .273/.319/.395, which isn’t good. However, they are averaging 5.57 runs per game, which is very good. Why the disparity? They’re hitting .347/.392/.537 with runners on base and .404/.452/.667 with men in scoring position. Overall, they’re hitting like a roster full of Willie Bloomquist’s, but with runners on base, they’re more like Adrian Beltre, and with men in scoring position, they’re Ted Williams.
This is all just sample size noise. The M’s will hit better than they have with the bases empty, but they’ll hit worse than they have with runners on. Where they meet will determine if this team can keep scoring runs at the current pace. The smart money leans towards no.
On the pitching and defense side, the M’s have held their opponents to a .251/.316/.348 line. They’ve issued 22 walks against just 32 strikeouts, which isn’t very good, but they’ve held teams to just 14 extra base hits, or 22 percent of total hits allowed. Last year, 36 percent of their hits allowed were extra base knocks. The batting average allowed isn’t hugely different from last year, but that masks the fact that most of the hits off the M’s so far have been singles.
Interestingly, the pitching has been the the inverse of the offense, pitching very well with no one on base and getting torched with runners on. As a result, the team is still giving up 5 runs per game despite keeping other teams from hitting well. Again, this is noise, and it will even out as the year goes on.
Other random individual notes:
Ichiro leads the team in walks. That’s never a good sign.
Richie Sexson is hitting .259. Ichiro is hitting .464. Sexson has more total bases, 16 to 15. The long ball is still the most efficient way to score runs.
Ryan Franklin has faced 47 batters and 43 of them have put the ball in play. 8 of those have gone for hits, for a BABIP of .186. League average is generally .300. When that comes back to earth, watch out.
Jamie Moyer has twice as many strikeouts as any other pitcher on the staff. He has 28 percent of the team’s strikeouts in 17 percent of the innings. Jamie Moyer, strikeout king.
We’re 3-4. If you want to be optimistic, we’re only one game out of first place. If you want to be a pessimist, we’re tied with six other teams for the worst record in the American League.