Game 154, Mariners at White Sox

DMZ · September 22, 2006 at 4:43 pm · Filed Under Game Threads 

Gil Meche v Jose Contreras. 5:35.

Come on Meche, you can do it. That coveted high Elias rating is within reach! The team needs you to ensure we get a chance to recover a high draft pick from your impending loss.

Mariners field
CF-L Ichiro
3B-R Beltre
C-R Johjima
LF-L Ibanez
1B-R Sexson
DH-L Broussard
2B-R Lopez
RF-L Snelling
SS-R Willie “The Ignitor” Bloomquist

Betancourt gets the night off after that plunking. I realize I missed a month worth of lineups, but Lopez at #7? I don’t quite understand what’s been going on with the shuffling.

Looking through the rosters today, I was struck by what a strange career Jermaine Dye has had. He’s hitting .318/.385/.630 (!) this year, after a really nice 2005 campaign for Chicago, which in turn followed his disappointing time in Oakland, where he was one of the players Billy Beane really wanted to get and then was injured and, when not injured, not playing well, until his final year in 2004.

Wins contributed by season through his career, summed up using BP’s WARP3 because I happen to have that open:
96, at 22: 1.6

97: 1.4
98: 1.6
99, his breakout year at 25: 8.5
00, 7.2

Traded in mid 2001 to the A’s
01, at 27, total: 5.8
02: 3.1
03: -.2
04: 4.2

White Sox:
05: 5.3
06: 9.6 (so far)

By any standard, that’s a really strange career path.


216 Responses to “Game 154, Mariners at White Sox”

  1. IdahoInvader on September 22nd, 2006 8:57 pm



    And I assume you don’t just mean Piazza’s triple (which is probably even more rare of a feat than the one you were referring to)

  2. scraps on September 22nd, 2006 9:01 pm

    He means someone’s pitching a Scottish Play, I assume.

  3. DanO on September 22nd, 2006 9:03 pm

    202– What, Macbeth? If so, I wish him the best of luck!

  4. msb on September 22nd, 2006 9:06 pm

    why, Princeton coach Scott Bradley must be quite interested in this interesting development

  5. argh on September 22nd, 2006 9:07 pm

    Well, we ain’t gonna make.500 but we also sure as hell aren’t losing any 90 games this year.

    Hoohaw. Sorta.

  6. Halamas Ghost on September 22nd, 2006 9:10 pm

    19-11 since 11 game skid…certainly worth a long comment from ussmariner– that is, do you all take requests?

  7. Coach Owens on September 22nd, 2006 9:13 pm

    Mariners win! Yeth!!!

  8. joser on September 22nd, 2006 9:18 pm

    Mariners since Mateo got hurt: 14-10. Taking Hargrove’s favorite gamekilling toy away has made a difference (you know he would’ve brought him in instead of Fruto and the Sox would’ve had a 3 run HR).

  9. Coach Owens on September 22nd, 2006 9:21 pm

    Chris Young’s no-hitter is done.

  10. Coach Owens on September 22nd, 2006 9:23 pm

    I ment killed Joe Randa hit a two run homer of off him.

  11. DMZ on September 22nd, 2006 9:27 pm


  12. Mat on September 22nd, 2006 9:29 pm

    Well, there goes the no-hitter and the shutout. Two-run jack by Joe Randa.

    And I assume you don’t just mean Piazza’s triple (which is probably even more rare of a feat than the one you were referring to)

    It depends on how you measure rarity. I’m too lazy to count all of the no-hitters in history, but over the last six seasons, there have been 8 no-hitters. I count about 162 games times six seasons times thirty teams for the number of potential no-hitters. That gives us a rate of 0.0027% for no-hitters per opportunity.

    On the other hand, Piazza has seven career triples now in about 6580 at-bats for a rate of 0.011% triples per at-bat. Even if we make it triples per plate appearance, that’s only 0.0095% 3B/PA..

    So in that light, a Piazza triple is three times as likely as a no-hitter. It’s closer than I thought it would be, though.

  13. Coach Owens on September 22nd, 2006 9:31 pm

    One-hitter though by him and Cla Meredith, still pretty darn good.

  14. msb on September 22nd, 2006 9:57 pm

    I wonder if Cla, Chone, Laynce, Torii, Daric, and Trever ever get together…

  15. Paul_Ibanyes on September 22nd, 2006 11:16 pm

    Fruto the loom

  16. Halamas Ghost on September 23rd, 2006 12:09 am

    Next year’s pitching line up

    1. The King
    2. Ichiro!
    3. Fruto the Loom
    4. Jared Wshburn
    5. Player to be named later

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