2007 Mariners, post-meetings
If the season started today…
~80 wins. That’s probably a little low… 82? 83? Assumes they blow their last chunk of change on one starter, as seems likely. Also omits Reed, who is almost certainly gone.
SP Felix Hernandez
SP Wrss Fhccna
SP Jarrod Washburn
SP Horacio Ramirez
C-R Kenji Johjima
1B-R Richie Sexson
2B-R Jose Lopez
SS-R Yuniesky Betancourt
3B-R Adrian Beltre
LF-L Raul Ibanez
RF-R Jose Guillen
This squad overachieves if
All the good things they said about Ramirez turn out to be true, Broussard turns in a good season, Lopez is Lopez instead of the horrible hitter Hargrove turned him into, Johjima hits better in his second season, they get Snelling three or four starts a week somehow to get the bat in there, Guillen is healthy and productive. Betancourt turns in another good year with the bat, Sexson starts well and hits all season long. Ibanez defies age entirely for another year. That magical team wins 90 games. Hargrove quits to pursue another career during spring training.
They undershoot if
Ramirez is what everyone thinks he is, Snelling never plays, Lopez is the horrible hitter Hargrove wants him to be… you know this litany.
The year collapses if
Felix or Ichiro is injured for any significant amount of time.
Things that could yet help or hurt the team
– Whoever that last starter they throw money at turns out to be
– Whether Broussard is moved, and for what
– Whether Sexson is moved, and for what
– Whether spring training actually matters in determining spots