Community projections: Jose Guillen
Community Projection: .269/.325/.445, 454 AB, 122 H, 24 2B, 1 3B, 18 HR, 27 BB, 89 K, 10 HBP
Jose Guillen was bound to be one of the most interesting projections. Out for most of last year, and not hitting when he was around, he’s a reclamation project at 31. But his previous two years, you got nice seasons out of him (.294/.352/.497 and .283/.338/.479). Projections are fairly narrow (average .260-.273, OBP .327-.332, SLG .449-.468) and they all seem to think he’ll only get ~400 ABs.
We’ve seen that in general projections have been on the high end, predicting improvements for players, but here Guillen’s community projection is high on playing time and low on performance.
AL average right fielder, 2006: .286/.348/.465
Jose Guillen projection, 2007: .269/.325/.445
In Safeco, that’s not bad, but it is still a chunk below average.