Just for fun
I don’t have time for an in depth post today (yes, the Future Forty update is coming, as is the long promised second half of the projecting players post), so, in lieu of something long, here’s a quick look at the post trade-deadline performances of some of the notable names who were talked about as possible Mariner acquisitions. Keep in mind that these performances don’t validate an opinion one way or another – a months worth of statistics isn’t any kind of real sample that proves anything. This is more just for fun. Try not to take it too seriously, and don’t send Geoff Baker any more mocking emails about Eric Gagne.
Jose Contreras: 34 IP, 34 H, 11 BB, 27 K, 2 HR, 3.21 ERA
David Wells: 10 IP, 13 H, 4 BB, 5 K, 0 HR, 4.50 ERA
J.P. Howell: 38 IP, 36 H, 8 BB, 51 K, 6 HR, 3.76 ERA (Triple-A numbers)
Not Dave’s Guys
Eric Gagne: 10 IP, 18 H, 4 BB, 13 K, 1 HR, 9.00 ERA
Al Reyes: 12 IP, 14 H, 3 BB, 18 K, 2 HR, 4.63 ERA
Dan Wheeler: 14 IP, 13 H, 6 BB, 13 K, 1 HR, 4.61 ERA
Octavio Dotel: 4 IP, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K, 1 HR, 8.31 ERA (on the DL since August 7th)
Matt Morris: 37 IP, 43 H, 16 BB, 18 K, 3 HR, 4.66 ERA
Mark Loretta: 105 PA, .224/.269/.276, 4 XBH
Again, I want to stress that these numbers, in and of themselves, don’t mean anything. The sample sizes are ridiculously small, and judging a past decision based on what happens after it was made is a great way to come to wrong conclusions.
However, if you look at the basic distinction between the two camps, there’s a basic philosophical divide – the Mariners pursued players who were performing well at the time of the deadline, while I preferred players whose performances were bad enough to get them bounced from their team’s rotations and were, in my opinion, undervalued. That Jose Contreras was awful in June and July didn’t mean he was going to continue to be awful in August and September, as long as the underlying skills that had made him a good pitcher in the past were still mostly present.
But then, most of you have already heard this before. So why am I posting this today?
Because the Mariners, during their nine game losing streak, were much like the June and July version of Jose Contreras – previously successful, flawed but still with some talent, yet currently getting the tar beaten out of them. Just like we shouldn’t have assumed that Jose Contreras was done as a major league pitcher, we shouldn’t assume the M’s are dead and buried – don’t let recent poor performance hide the fact that there’s still talent on this team, and the fact that they got beaten like they stole something last week does not mean they’re doomed to struggle the rest of the way.
I’m not saying the Mariners are going to win the wild card. I’m saying they have a chance, and if you jumped off the bandwagon during the past week and a half, we’ll let you climb back on – we shouldn’t be ready to give up on this team just yet.