Game 22, Orioles at Mariners
7:10. Cabrera v Silva. They sure have been talking up Silva’s contribution, haven’t they?
This lineup…. ugh.
DH-B Turbo, Professional Hitter
(added:) Fun fact: in the AL, the #5 hitter hit .284/.355/.470 in 2006 (which I happen to have handy). Vidro managed that back in his peak years.
21 games into last season, the M’s were 11-10 too. It’s natural to look at mirroring last season as good, and certainly, over .500 is good. But there’s also a belief that the M’s last year were competitive until they swooned badly, as if there were two teams, and for a while, the bad one showed up, and if only they could keep those guys from taking the field they’d have kept winning at a good clip and won the division.
I understand why you’d want to think that, but it’s as silly as pretending that any arbitrarily selected group of wins was an aberration and they’ll stink because that stretch wasn’t representative.
Being as good as last year’s team isn’t good enough — it’s why they went out and got Bedard — they wanted to (as they saw it) shore up a weakness, and prevent a similar losing streak.
But here’s the thing, and I’ll use a coin flipping example I’m stealing from a professor. If I asked everyone to go do a hundred coin flips, and said I didn’t care if you faked it or not, I’d be able to tell with pretty reasonable certainty who faked them, because they wouldn’t have really long streaks in them. People who fake the results keep the streaks really short.
When the team’s losing, of course, we look for reasons why – do they look lost? Ill-prepared? And sometimes there are reasons like that. But often, like a pitcher looking for a flaw in their delivery they can correct, it’s often little more than rationalization (“Ah! My hat brim was too clean! Of course! … Yay, I threw a quality start! That must have been it!”)
Anyway, for their 22nd and 23rd games, last year’s team took two games from the White Sox. I’d love to see them repeat that.