The extremely early top probable GM candidate ranking
Here are the handful of people off that list I think have the best chance to make the initial cut and get the job. This is based on strength of their candidacy, what we know about how well they’ve interviewed in the past, what the M’s want to see in a candidate, and who’s doing the search. I have no more information than anyone else, and since the M’s haven’t started leaking names or process yet, and there’s no news on who’s been allowed or denied permission to interview, they’re just guesses.
I’d bet the M’s intentionally or not will group the candidates, and there’ll be at least one from each in their finalists. I’ve been thinking of them as:
– Young whippersnappers
– Familiar, experienced faces, mostly from scouting
– Nice clean young men who remind them of themselves what seems like only a few years ago
I’ve picked who I think will be the top candidates in each group to produce the finalist group.
Impudent whippersnappers: Antonetti
Polite youngsters: Tony LaCava, Peter Woodfork
Familiar faces/scouting path: Al Avila, Logan White
Internals: Lee Pelekoudas
Retreads: Wayne Krivsky
Yes, I’m serious, I’ve got a bad feeling about Krivsky. Notable drops: I’m hoping they’d give Forst, DePo, and Ng a shot, but I don’t have a lot of confidence that’ll happen (or that they’d want the job). Forst has the the division problem I noted yesterday.
They’ll like Woodfork and LaCava a lot, and I’d bet Avila and Logan do well too. Pelekoudas gets waved to the final round as the internal guy and the interim GM. If Towers is seriously available, and I think it would take a lot for that to happen, he’d be on there.
I don’t think it’s likely that more than one of Antonetti/DePodesta/Forst gets to the final round, and even if they don’t intend to hire from that group, they’ll string one along for PR/brain-picking purposes. The ideal scenario, from my point of view anyway, is that they bring one of these guys in for the token interview and they absolutely blow away the competition with the level of thought and preparation they’ve put into it. I don’t know.
In retrospect, I should have given Jerry DiPoto his own writeup instead of bunching him in with the Diamondbacks/Red Sox comment in Woodfork’s writeup. Maybe I’ll go back for that.
And again, I’d bet Dave would come up with a significantly different list, as would anyone.
I hope that’s at all helpful — this is a pretty frequently-requested post, and I’m sure we’ll be updating it.