Red hot handicapping update

DMZ · October 8, 2008 at 11:15 am · Filed Under Mariners 

A semi-random gauge of who’s likely to get the job. Based on current press coverage, rumors, substantiated and un, educated guesses, and so on. We claim no insight into front office machinations. Please, no wagering.

A brief step back from my standard odds-posting without commentary. Stone’s story, as you’d expect, changes the odds a lot: DiPoto, who’d been included in a group that lost traction the longer they went on without being mentioned, goes back up. Tony Bernazard, who we hadn’t heard a peep about, goes from “field” to a significant chance. LaCava, Woodfork, and Ng, who we’ve been talking about forever, get their chances vindicated. I’m relucant to give up on Hahn, who was briefly the hot rumor and someone the M’s were seriously pursuing. And yet, we give Larry an official USSM Endorsement every year for good reason, so you see why this gets well-shaken.

I’ll give some brief thoughts on who this means and for what when I have a chance, which may not happen. Anyway!

Who (links) Percent
LaCava (1, 2) 25%
Ng (1, 2) 20%
Woodfork 20%
Tony Bernazard 14%
Jerry DiPoto 14%
Hahn (1) 5%
Pelekoudas 1%
Bulk candidates  
Field 1%

For names and brief resumes, check our potential GM candidates post.

“Field” is everyone not listed. Field includes: Avila, Evans, Hinch, Hoyer, Evans, Forst, Jennings, White.


12 Responses to “Red hot handicapping update”

  1. KingCorran on October 8th, 2008 11:20 am

    No Antonetti?

  2. sass on October 8th, 2008 11:22 am

    What’s the word on Bernazard? He isn’t part of your GM search post.

  3. Mike Snow on October 8th, 2008 11:52 am

    Bernazard is part of the Mets’ deep connections in Latin America, and also is viewed as a big part of the push to get Willie Randolph fired. Opinions may differ on Randolph’s merits as a manager, but his firing was certainly abysmally handled. On the other hand, the execution may not really be something we should hold Bernazard responsible for, despite the politics of the situation.

    What I’d be most concerned about is that in his track record as VP of Player Development, Bernazard represents the least change from the worst failings of the Bavasi regime. Aggressive promotion of prospects, then unloading them in bulk to plug holes on the major league roster, in particular. That the Santana trade was a better bargain than the Bedard swap, and has had better results, still doesn’t mean that’s the kind of approach the Mariners should want right now.

  4. Colm on October 8th, 2008 12:24 pm

    It’s hard to avoid a feeling of growing dismay that the Mariners seem to be looking for the ‘safest’ GM Candidate.

    No sir-ee. We don’t want to rock this boat. Oh no. We want someone as well steeped as we can imagine in conventional baseball wisdom.

    And down in in SoDo the twin golems of ignorance and cowardice converge once again to destroy my hopes for a better future.

  5. msb on October 8th, 2008 12:54 pm

    Larry does say there will be more interviews next week.

  6. msb on October 8th, 2008 1:24 pm

    nice that Ng doesn’t have to wait until the Dodgers are out of it.

    Newsday sniping at Bernazard

  7. msb on October 8th, 2008 1:43 pm

    NY Times and Daily News on Bernazard

  8. Mike Snow on October 8th, 2008 1:47 pm

    Good point about Ng. Maybe on account of sweeping the Cubs there was enough downtime before the NLCS starts Thursday to fit her in.

    I wonder if, aside from her, they are even looking at candidates from the franchises still playing. Gillick’s been pretty much ruled out. Gerry Hunsicker? But the list so far is entirely prospective first-time GMs, not retreads.

  9. Typical Idiot Fan on October 8th, 2008 2:19 pm

    Reading those articles msb linked, I don’t think Bernazard has any business being the GM of a major league baseball team.

  10. msb on October 8th, 2008 2:25 pm

    well, take into account they are NY papers writing about the Mets 🙂

  11. Mariner Melee on October 8th, 2008 10:51 pm

    Bernazard sounds like a Bavasi clone.

  12. msb on October 9th, 2008 8:48 am


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