A Fun Thought
Whether the M’s deserve to be 7-2 right now or not, the fact is that those wins don’t get taken off the board. They’re in the bank, and they aren’t going anywhere.
Because of that, even if you haven’t changed your opinion one iota about the strength of the roster (and honestly, you shouldn’t have changed it much – nine games is too small of a sample to mean much), you need to add three wins to whatever you thought the team’s final record was going to be. Math requires you to.
You thought they were a 75 win team on Opening Day? That would be a .463 winning percentage. If they play .463 ball over the rest of the season, they’ll win 71 more games. 71 + 7 = 78.
You though they were a 78 win team on Opening Day (hey, me too!)? That would be a .481 winning percentage. If they play .481 ball over the rest of the season, they’ll win 74 more games. 74 + 7 = 81.
You can do this for basically any expected record. Almost everyone should just add three wins to their expected record to find their new expected record. If you were really high on this team and thought they would win 90, you only add two wins (.555 * 153 = 85 + 7 = 92).
Most of us, we’ll add three wins. So, now, I “expect” the M’s to finish 81-81, based on their current roster, assuming no injuries/trades/etc…
Given that, I’d say it’s likely – not possible, likely – that the team will still be playing meaningful baseball in September. Seriously – get ready for some kind of pennant race. The M’s are in this thing, and barring a summer sell-off of all the expiring contracts, they should be all year.