Game 15, Mariners At Royals
Hernandez vs O’Sullivan, 10:10 am.
Happy Felix Day!
Sorry about not getting a game thread up last night – had some stuff unexpectedly arise yesterday afternoon that kept me out of the loop all day. I’ll try to make sure that’s the only time all year we miss a game thread, but I’m glad Marc had reports on Tacoma’s home opener as a fill-in.
Since I didn’t see last night’s game, I don’t have many comments, but I will throw this out there:
2009 Bedard: 3.69 BB/9, 9.76 K/9, 42.3% GB%, 9.3% HR/FB, .269 BABIP
2011 Bedard: 3.95 BB/9, 9.88 K/9, 34.0% GB%, 28.6% HR/FB, .357 BABIP
Bedard’s performance isn’t quite as good as it was pre-injury two years ago, but the main driver of his poor results so far this year are an insane HR/FB rate and a ridiculously high batting average on balls in play. While I’m sure we can point to those things as examples that he’s been throwing hittable pitches, the rate at which hitters are making him pay for those hitters is simply unsustainable. Every pitcher makes mistakes, but so far, all of Bedard’s mistakes are getting whacked. That won’t continue. His 3.97 xFIP so far is a better indicator of his future performance than his 8.56 ERA. I know it’s hard to be encouraged by what you’ve seen, but don’t overreact to his poor start – it’s based on factors that won’t last.
Ryan Langerhans is hitting third for the M’s today. I’m wondering if anyone has ever hit 3rd and 9th for their team in the same week before.