Dave On Brock And Salk Today

Dave · August 5, 2011 at 8:26 am · Filed Under Mariners 

10 am pacific time, 710 am on the radio dial. Or listen online. Or don’t. I’m just offering options.


51 Responses to “Dave On Brock And Salk Today”

  1. djw on August 7th, 2011 9:37 am

    I am agnostic–perhaps I’m even on your side–regarding the wisdom of spending 9M on Russell Martin’s free agent clone this winter.

    That aside, your empirical claim, which has evolved considerably now (from “Olivo is above average” to “it doesn’t matter”), seems to have settled on the following claim: A player with a wOBA of 270 and a player with a wOBA of 319 are likely to have similar levels of offensive value in the future because they have the same number of RBIs over the first 100+ games of 2011.

    The underlying claims here that are particularly ludicrous are 1) that RBI total is the same thing as “production”, and 2) that RBIs are strongly predictive of future production and wOBA is not. These claims are so empirically ludicrous it’s hard for me to believe you’ve followed baseball as long as you have and still believe them. If I seem frustrated, it’s because the comment threads here used to be of persistently higher quality than any other baseball site I frequented, because people here either educated those who made claims like that, or eventually chased them away if they were incapable of being educated. I miss those days; it was a unique feature of this site, and it pretty clearly seems to have passed.

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