Game 115, Mariners at Angels

marc w · August 11, 2012 at 5:31 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Dan Haren, 6:05pm

Hisashi Iwakuma and his excellent splitter faces off against Dan Haren and his famous cutter. Haren’s been a good-to-excellent pitcher for a decade, so it’s somewhat surprising to see him struggle the way he has in 2012. He hasn’t been awful (well, he was for a while in the early part of the season), but he’s just not the Dan Haren that the Angels traded for. His FIP currently stands at 4.27, the highest it’s been since his first half-year in the big leagues back in 2003. The biggest problem for him has been right-handed batters, who’ve hit a collective .320/.353/.511 against the right-handed Haren this year. The reverse splits aren’t a massive surprise, as he’s been harder on lefties than righties over his career – but the magnitude of them suggest something’s amiss. He did take some time off with a sore back earlier in July, and he’s been better since then, but even so, a league-averagey pitcher isn’t what the Angels expected, and it’s one reason the A’s are neck-and-neck with their richer rivals to the south.

Haren’s been declining for a little while now, as his velocity’s now solidly in the high-80s, and not the 91-92 he used to work at:
Haren velocity chart
Lucky for Haren, he’s never really been a pure fastball pitcher, and his cutter’s still reasonably effective despite losing a few ticks along with every other pitch. The problem is that without average FB velocity to back it up, and with the cutter itself coming in at 85mph, it’s something of a feast or famine pitch. That is, it gets a solid number of whiffs, but it no longer gets a lot of ground balls, and as a result, some cutters get hit a very long way. That’s part of the reason Haren’s suffering from a poor HR rate.

Iwakuma knows all about a bad HR rate, but he’s pitching in what’s normally a good fly-ball pitcher’s park. Of course, it’s broiling in Southern California tonight, so the ball may fly a bit further than it normally does.

Tom Wilhelmsen’s going to rejoin the team soon following the birth of his daughter last night – congratulations to Tom and his family. That should mean we won’t see the absurdist comedy of last night’s game in which the Ms didn’t use their emergency closer (Stephen Pryor) because they weren’t in a save situation.

Line-up:
1: Ackley
2: Saunders
3: Seager
4: Jaso (DH)
5: Carp
6: Thames
7: Olivo (C)
8: Robinson
9: Ryan
SP: Iwakuma

Looks like someone doesn’t buy into Haren’s reverse splits; the M’s have seven lefties in the line-up tonight, including the switch-hitting Robinson. Go M’s!

Comments

79 Responses to “Game 115, Mariners at Angels”

  1. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 5:48 pm

    Wow, what an outfield.

  2. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 5:53 pm

    That should mean we won’t see the absurdist comedy of last night’s game in which the Ms didn’t use their emergency closer (Stephen Pryor) because they weren’t in a save situation.

    Nope – instead, we’ll see the absurdist comedy where the M’s won’t use their regular closer because they aren’t in a save situation.

    Looks like someone doesn’t buy into Haren’s reverse splits; the M’s have seven lefties in the line-up tonight, including the switch-hitting Robinson.

    I doubt any of us would think Wedge is even capable of that level of thought. This is the same guy who keeps people out of a lineup because they’re 0-fer-7 lifetime against a particular starting pitcher.

  3. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:00 pm

    0 for 7 lifetime against a pitcher they haven’t even seen since 2008… Haha

  4. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:04 pm

    :-D Mid80s

  5. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:06 pm

    We’ve been speculating for a while about players who might be a good fit here. Maybe it’s time to start looking at managerial candidates as well? I know I’ve seen enough of him.

  6. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:11 pm

    Anyone else having the sound cut out occasionally (on Comcast)?

  7. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:12 pm

    I am hearby banning Saunders from grounding out to second in all future AB’s.

  8. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:12 pm

    Saunders grounds out to second base AGAIN.

    Something is going on. I know all the argument about being “smart aggressive”, but I think it’s time for some of these guys to just stop listening to Wedge/Chambliss.

  9. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:14 pm

    Saunders is probably listening to both Wedge and Chambliss.

  10. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:15 pm

    Funny we were thinking the same thing, Westy!

  11. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:16 pm

    So what time is it where you’re at in Brazil, Steve?

  12. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:18 pm

    Four hours ahead. It’s winter here. Sunny, calm, but still winter. Very similar to summer there.

  13. terryoftacoma on August 11th, 2012 6:19 pm

    Other than swapping out an outfielder for Wells,and maybe Montero for Olivo, I don’t see much else that Wedge could throw out there. Unless you want to see Figgins and I sure don’t.

    I know what you’re saying Steve, Wedge is old fashion and does a lot of things against the book but we knew that when the season started. He can only deal with the roster he given. Granted he sometimes doesn’t deal very well. But it is what it is.

  14. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:22 pm

    I agree, Terry, but even one or two substitutions, could mean the difference. To be fair, it could be Jack requesting playing time for Trayvon. Still doesn’t sit well with me.

  15. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:24 pm

    Let Jaso catch and DH Montero – Olivo should sit against righties, always.

    Montero’s not particularly good against righties, but Olivo is terrible.

    Given Wells’ slump, Trayvon being in the lineup doesn’t bother me as much. Given the lineup we’ve got, anyway.

  16. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:27 pm

    At least Montero’s young enough that he should be given the chance to improve against righties.

  17. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:27 pm

    Trayvon took advantage of a mistake. But still – it’s good that SOMEONE did for once!

  18. terryoftacoma on August 11th, 2012 6:29 pm

    I think I rather see Olivo play today than against Weaver tomorrow. I’m thinking Wedge wants to use him at least once this series. If I’m right I rather see him go today.. personally I wouldn’t use him this series at all.

  19. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:30 pm

    That’s pretty much the whole game, taking advantage of mistakes.

  20. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:33 pm

    Nice to see Ackley (mostly) turning it around lately.

  21. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:34 pm

    Please be patient Michael.

    THAT WASN’T PATIENT.

  22. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:35 pm

    Maybe I created a reverse-jinx for Olivo and Trayvon? Glad to see them cash-in.

  23. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:39 pm

    Steve, I think Condor could benefit from some of that reverse-jinx mojo right now…

  24. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:41 pm

    Iwakuma with a perfect game so far…

  25. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:42 pm

    Iwakuma’s looking sharp. I don’t know how accurate gameday is with location, but he appears to be hitting all the borders of the strike zone well.

  26. terryoftacoma on August 11th, 2012 6:44 pm

    I think Condor’s trying too hard to cover the hole in his swing

  27. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:45 pm

    Jaso!!

  28. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:45 pm

    Atta baby, Jaso!

  29. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:46 pm

    Jaso!!! wow, do I have a slow connection.

  30. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 6:49 pm

    wRC+ just got some air time on ROOT. And a pretty decent explanation as to what it was. I hope they go back to it and give it a little more explanaton time. That was good to see

  31. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:50 pm

    Yeah, looks like the ROOT guys are reading LL now in addition to USSM! ;-)

    (And there’s nothing wrong with that – I would encourage even more of it!)

  32. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:51 pm

    I think they’re playing better because I switched from beer to whiskey….as good of a reason as any. Haha

  33. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:52 pm

    What the hell was that?! Iwakuma…. some nerve, actually throwing a ball.

  34. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 6:52 pm

    Dammit, there went the perfecto AND the no-no

  35. terryoftacoma on August 11th, 2012 6:53 pm

    Don’t count chickens just yet we lead 5-0 going into this inning yesterday.

  36. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:56 pm

    Haha, Olivo is doing his best to prove me wrong!

    Atta boy Miguel!

  37. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:57 pm

    I am SO SICK of Wedge’s fascination with bunting!

  38. terryoftacoma on August 11th, 2012 6:57 pm

    He must be reading USSM between inngs. haha

  39. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 6:58 pm

    All this bunting, yet he won’t try a suicide squeeze ever!

  40. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 6:59 pm

    Clearly, Wedge has summoned Nostradamus, or maybe Edgar Cayce. I’ll give him credit for that. Good idea.

  41. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:00 pm

    Maybe Eric Byrnes led to an organization-wide ban on the suicide squeeze, forever! hehe

  42. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 7:01 pm

    With only one hit – we have guys on 2B and 3B.

    This is great! It will be greater if they can be pushed across

  43. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 7:02 pm

    Could be that gameday’s pitch recognition is off, but both Iwakuma and Haren, aren’t getting the low-outside calls.

  44. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:03 pm

    Pujols! hehehe

  45. terryoftacoma on August 11th, 2012 7:03 pm

    We don’t have a lot of power which I think in Wedge’s mind means you play little ball.

  46. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 7:03 pm

    Greater!

  47. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 7:03 pm

    Keep throwin’ us runs, we’ll take them!

  48. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:05 pm

    I guess in my mind “not having much power” means the team shouldn’t give away outs, ever. ;-)

  49. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:06 pm

    Yay, Condor didn’t ground out to second! Little steps, little steps…

  50. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 7:07 pm

    The Angels have power and giving away outs isn’t helping them either :P

  51. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:07 pm

    Haren obviously was distracted by Jaso’s beard and ashamed of his sub-par attempt at growing one.

    Heheheh Steve!

  52. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 7:08 pm

    Weeeeee!

    I am just going to go ahead and assume that we need a few more runs, regardless.

  53. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:13 pm

    Given 2/3 of tonight’s Mariners outfield, I’d say that’s a reasonable assumption Mike.

    Larry LaRue has already christened Eric “Adventure” Thames>

  54. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 7:14 pm

    Iwakuma’s pace has been much better tonight. They must have said something to him about it. No glaciers gaining distance on him today.

  55. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 7:40 pm

    Quick question – taking production and total salary cost into consideration: would you rather have Figgins or Vernon Wells?

  56. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 7:44 pm

    Figgins, without a doubt. Wells is making 24.64 million this year – AND the next two years!!

  57. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 7:45 pm

    What are you swinging at, Michael Saunders?

    yeesh!!!

    Yep, I think that is the right answer Westy. So, in conclusion … Having Figgins is a good thing – via a recent survey of Mariner faithful. I am now qualified to be a pollster.

  58. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 7:58 pm

    Geez, Mike, that’s like saying I’d rather get punched in the balls than kicked in the balls.

  59. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 8:02 pm

    Good analogy

  60. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 8:06 pm

    Nice to see Thames get a hit.

  61. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 8:06 pm

    Time to mix another drink. Haha

    Damn, that Trout kid is pretty good

  62. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 8:06 pm

    What was Thames thinking there!?

  63. henryv on August 11th, 2012 8:07 pm

    I can’t stand stupid baseball. Seriously. You need to know virtually nothing. Don’t screw up simple stuff.

  64. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 8:10 pm

    Om listening to the radio broadcast, so maybe it wasn’t as stupid as it sounded?

  65. stevemotivateir on August 11th, 2012 8:12 pm

    All these mistakes force the issue of outfield depth. Tryna see the positives so I don’t pull all my hair out.

  66. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 8:14 pm

    Damn, I was hoping to get another chance to see Josh Kinney pitch again today.

  67. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 8:15 pm

    Nice game by Iwakuma, for the most part

  68. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 8:15 pm

    Although of Wells contract would also come with the Angel’s payroll – or alternatively the best player in baseball, at MLB minimum salary – I’d take Wells. :-)

  69. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 8:17 pm

    I hope you’re joking, Mike. Don’t make me drive out to Horn Rapids and throat punch you. Haha

  70. WalterNeff on August 11th, 2012 8:18 pm

    I’m watching the Seahawks – had to choose

  71. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 8:21 pm

    Speaking of the Seahawks, how about those new uni’s? Yuck..

    93 mph slider? Damn, that’s brutal.

  72. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 8:22 pm

    Yes, I most definitely was joking. Not a Kinney fan

    Man, Pryor just worked Trout over.

  73. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 8:24 pm

    The Seahawks still play in the NFL – from what I have heard.

  74. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 8:26 pm

    Uh, Rizz- at 200mph he could certainly afford a mistake location-wise.

  75. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 8:27 pm

    Pryor is for real.

  76. msfanmike on August 11th, 2012 8:54 pm

    Everett vs Spokane is on SWX – for those who get that station.

  77. Mid80sRighty on August 11th, 2012 9:08 pm

    Is that a recent game Mike? Seems that station shows some REALLY old games.

  78. Westside guy on August 11th, 2012 9:19 pm

    Don’t know for sure how old that game was, but one of the announcers made a reference to “that young pup Jackie Robinson”.

  79. msfanmike on August 12th, 2012 10:13 am

    It was a live game. Mcgruder got thrown out trying to tag up and go from 1B to 2B for the last out of the inning with Zunino on deck. Everett was up by one at the time. A runner had tagged and gone to 3B on the same play. It seemed very much mariner appropriate for the last out to be at 2B with a runner on 3B and the teams best hitter coming up. Brumley could not be blamed for this one, though

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