Game 126, Mariners at White Sox

marc w · August 24, 2012 at 3:45 pm · Filed Under Mariners 

Jason Vargas vs. Jake Peavy, 5:10pm

The M’s march through the AL Central continues tonight in Chicago, as Jason Vargas squares off against Jake Peavy and the Sox.

Chicago’s been in first place for a long time, but they’ve got some incentive as Detroit’s suddenly less than two games back, and the wild card race is pretty tight. Luckily, they look like a very good club, with an excellent offense and surprising pitching. Their run differential is +72, which easily outpaces Detroit’s and the other claimants for the wild card like Oakland and Baltimore…which, how on earth is Baltimore in this thing given that their run differential is -54?

Anyway – Jake Peavy remains a very good starting pitcher, and he’s been healthier this year than he’s ever been with Chicago – he’s already surpassed his innings pitched totals from 2011, 2010 and 2009, and he could surpass his 2008 total tonight. His fastball velocity’s down from where it was in his first few years with the White Sox, but it’s still a very respectable 91.

Interestingly, he’s all but abandoned his cutter this year in favor of a true slider and curve. Even against lefties, he’s using breaking balls more and the cutter less. In 2011, he threw a cutter 15% of the time he faced a lefty, and used his curve ball 8%. This year, the cutter’s down to 4% against lefties, while curve usage is up to 14%. His platoon splits look bad this year, but much of that seems to be BABIP luck – he’s still pretty tough against all hitters.

The M’s have their lefty-heavy line-up out there, and with Montero catching, it’s almost impossible to quibble with:
1: Ackley
2: Saunders
3: Seager
4: Jaso (DH)
5: Montero (C)
6: Thames
7: Smoak
8: Robinson
9: Ryan
SP: Vargas

Tacoma’s home against Las Vegas tonight, and it depresses me to inform you that tonight’s game is Danny Hultzen’s last start in Tacoma this year, and that, including tonight, the Rainiers have three home dates left in 2012. So go.


160 Responses to “Game 126, Mariners at White Sox”

  1. henryv on August 25th, 2012 6:56 pm

    No one will look back at the sac bunt as the reason we didn’t score that inning.

    The Robinson bunt decreased the likelihood of a win by 3.3%.

    To intentionally decrease the liklihood of a win is about as smart as batting Miguel Olivoooooshit.

  2. Jordan on August 25th, 2012 6:56 pm

    I don’t understand why you let Figgins bat but not Trayvon.

  3. msfanmike on August 25th, 2012 6:57 pm

    What a sad sack crap bag of shit that AB was. Swung at a pitch chest high which perfectly led the SS to the bag for a DP.

    Excellent work Figgy.

  4. Westside guy on August 25th, 2012 7:17 pm

    Okay, let’s see six runs again! hehehe

  5. msfanmike on August 25th, 2012 7:21 pm

    Put Guti on plane to Chicago, please.

    Put Figgy on plane out of Chicago, P-L-E-A-S-E !!!!!!!!

  6. Westside guy on August 25th, 2012 7:23 pm


  7. Westside guy on August 25th, 2012 7:24 pm

    Okay, Jaso, time for more heroics…


  8. msfanmike on August 25th, 2012 7:30 pm

    Figgins not advancing a runner who probably would have scored on Ryan’s hit

    Wells not running out a missed third strike(cost the team an out)

    Wells – bad throw to plate (cost the team a run … A lot of right fielders make a better throw on that play)

    There are probably other small plays that cost us, but these three stand out in my mind. Admittedly, I missed a couple innings of action – so I am sure there were other small things the team did wrong.

  9. Westside guy on August 25th, 2012 7:39 pm

    It also didn’t help that Beavan and company kept having to get out of self-created trouble. Chicago had chances to score a lot more times than they did.

    But I agree – and the fact that Chicago’s fielders kept trying to let us back in the game, both yesterday and today, makes those failed chances more annoying.

  10. nvn8vbryce on August 26th, 2012 12:43 am

    Put Figgy on plane out of Chicago, P-L-E-A-S-E !!!!!!!!

    Perhaps one to Kansas City?

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