Mariners Face Should-be Natural Rival Pirates

Matthew Carruth · June 25, 2013 at 12:30 pm · Filed Under Mariners 
MARINERS (34-43) ΔMs PIRATES (46-30) EDGE
HITTING (wOBA*) -13.8 (19th) 2.6 21.5 (6th) Pirates
FIELDING (RBBIP) -19.4 (26th) 2.1 23.6 (2nd) Pirates
ROTATION (xRA) 14.2 (9th) -1.5 -7.4 (18th) Mariners
BULLPEN (xRA) 3.2 (12th) 2.7 8.0 (6th) Pirates
OVERALL (RAA) -15.9 (18th) 6.0 45.7 (6th) PIRATES

By mascot, what’s more feared to a Mariner than a Pirate? I’ll tell you what isn’t the answer to that is a Padre. Unless the Mariners is like, enough with the missionaries already! But that hardly seems relevant to today’s age. Pirates still exist. Do you ever stop and realize that? Pirates still exist and are still terrorizing maritime trade. Yet we treat them as protagonists in multi-million dollar Hollywood blockbusters and millions dress up as them for Halloween. America once fought an entire war against pirates. The way history ends up getting treated is so weird.

Also, what? The Pirates are ludicrously good this season. Coming off a three-game sweep of the Angles (ha), the Pirates come to Safeco for the first time in six years.

Batter PA P/PA Slash line nBB K (sw) 1B/2B/3B/HR Sw- Ct+ Qual+
N Franklin^ 52 4.1 .313/.365/.521 4 7 (5) 9 / 4 / 0 / 2 91 103 145
K Seager* 52 3.9 .265/.308/.388 3 7 (6) 9 / 3 / 0 / 1 93 104 114
R Ibanez* 50 4.3 .292/.320/.604 2 14 (11) 9 / 0 / 0 / 5 101 99 115
E Chavez* 47 3.6 .298/.298/.383 0 7 (6) 10 / 4 / 0 / 0 106 103 95
B Ryan 40 3.6 .105/.175/.132 2 10 (9) 3 / 1 / 0 / 0 101 94 114
K Morales^ 39 3.8 .162/.250/.243 2 9 (7) 5 / 0 / 0 / 1 105 91 81
M Saunders* 37 4.2 .242/.333/.273 3 9 (6) 7 / 1 / 0 / 0 103 102 104
M Zunino 30 3.6 .214/.267/.357 2 8 (5) 4 / 1 / 0 / 1 114 84 122
J Smoak^ 21 3.7 .263/.333/.421 2 4 (3) 4 / 0 / 0 / 1 96 96 92
M Morse 21 4.1 .316/.381/.474 2 4 (4) 3 / 3 / 0 / 0 120 100 86
Batter PA P/PA Slash line nBB SO (sw) 1B/2B/3B/HR Sw- Ct+ Qual+
A McCutchen 59 3.4 .308/.390/.481 7 11 (9) 9 / 6 / 0 / 1 107 90 107
P Alvarez* 55 4.1 .367/.446/.837 6 15 (14) 7 / 5 / 0 / 6 110 81 141
N Walker^ 53 3.8 .256/.407/.419 9 9 (7) 6 / 4 / 0 / 1 94 102 107
S Marte 49 4.0 .271/.306/.500 1 14 (11) 7 / 2 / 3 / 1 118 94 97
J Mercer 48 3.8 .326/.408/.442 5 7 (5) 11 / 2 / 0 / 1 98 100 114
R Martin 44 4.0 .314/.455/.400 9 4 (3) 8 / 3 / 0 / 0 95 101 60
G Jones* 43 4.3 .231/.326/.308 4 12 (10) 6 / 3 / 0 / 0 109 96 102
T Snider* 39 4.3 .250/.325/.361 3 11 (7) 7 / 1 / 0 / 1 86 92 94
G Sanchez 38 4.3 .273/.368/.394 5 5 (1) 7 / 1 / 0 / 1 94 106 105
A Presley* 26 4.4 .308/.308/.577 0 5 (3) 5 / 1 / 0 / 2 115 111 77

The past fourteen days have the Pirates as the best group of position players in baseball thanks in part to Pedro Alvarez’s insane hot streak. That comes on the heels of a two-week stretch in which the Pirates were among the worst hitting teams.

MARINERS ΔMs PIRATES EDGE
INFIELD -4.8 (17th) 0.4 4.6 (11th) Pirates
OUTFIELD -14.6 (25th) 1.9 19.0 (5th) Pirates
RBBIP 0.317 (26th) -.001 0.293 (2nd) Pirates
OVERALL -19.4 (26th) 2.3 23.7 (2nd) PIRATES

So much is impacted by defense. Over a roughly average game with 40 plate appearances, the difference between the Mariners’ and Pirates’ defensive RBBIP amounts to about a half run per game.

25 JUN 19:10 – JOE SAUNDERS* vs JEFF LOCKE*

My apologies for the possibly confusing color on Jeff Locke’s graph. I might not have a specific color assigned to knuckle curves because aside from Andy Pettitte, like nobody throws one. At least, not that Pitch F/X picks up. Locke’s been making news with his very low ERA. Guess what’s probably a fluke? The Pirates defense is making Locke’s year, keeping his RBBIP down at .258 compared to the league average of .301, while he posts worse than average strikeout and walk rates.

26 JUN 12:40 – FELIX HERNANDEZ vs JEANMAR GOMEZ

The Mariners saw Jeanmar Gomez back in May on their trip to Pittsburgh. He’s your standard sinker-slider righty with mediocre strikeout and walk rates in general and about even rates versus lefties. Of course he easily handled the Mariners in what was his second start of the season. He’d recently been back in Triple-A. Hopefully the Mariners can send him back there and actually win something for Felix Hernandez.

Reliever BF Str+ nBB Ct- K(sw) GB+ HR Qual- LI
D Farquhar 53 100 4 88 19 (17) 90 2 89 1.4
T Wilhelmsen 50 94 8 108 6 (5) 81 2 107 2.3
Y Medina 46 93 4 101 9 (7) 155 0 55 2.0
O Perez* 38 103 4 89 12 (8) 75 0 114 1.7
C Furbush* 37 99 5 90 13 (10) 119 0 100 1.2
C Capps 32 93 4 102 5 (5) 88 2 95 1.7
H Noesi 31 108 1 105 6 (4) 113 1 133 1.4
B Beavan 30 112 0 112 5 (3) 99 2 102 0.3

This is amazing to say, but the Mariners bullpen might be better off with Hector Noesi in it. Ugh. Eww. No, actually, it’s not worth it.

Reliever BF Str+ nBB Ct- K(sw) GB+ HR Qual- LI
B Morris 68 96 7 98 12 (10) 150 2 55 0.8
J Wilson* 57 99 5 107 10 (7) 126 1 101 1.7
V Mazzaro 53 96 4 100 8 (7) 126 2 86 1.4
J Grilli 51 109 2 80 24 (20) 75 1 108 1.8
T Watson* 45 104 6 99 6 (6) 96 0 97 1.4
M Melancon 43 109 4 101 13 (11) 104 0 104 1.9
M Zagurski* 32 90 8 113 4 (4) 130 1 91 0.3
R Reid 24 101 2 117 2 (0) 146 1 87 0.5

Jason Grilli, folks. A man who’s been kicking around the Majors as a so-so reliever for 11 seasons, he’s upped his fastball speed a touch in the last two seasons and for whatever combination of factors has had his strikeout rate blossom. This year he’s continued that and further cut down on his walks, leading to 58 strikeouts to 8 net walks. Not far behind him is Mark Melancon at 40 and 5.

Comments

13 Responses to “Mariners Face Should-be Natural Rival Pirates”

  1. jephdood on June 25th, 2013 1:31 pm

    By mascot, it’s really a moose vs a parrot. And in nature, these two would probably not pay any attention to each other. That is, if a moose and parrot were ever in the same area.

  2. scraps on June 25th, 2013 1:45 pm

    Fine opener!

  3. scraps on June 25th, 2013 1:51 pm

    Lately, Felix Hernandez should win one for Felix Hernandez. Well, it’s only start; but my god, what an awful start. The hitters should get a reprieve for that one (say, ten games).

  4. scraps on June 25th, 2013 2:06 pm

    I like this version of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Probably my second- or third favorite team. The Mariners are going nowhere. The Pirates are maybe going somewhere. I can’t root against the Mariners (especially Felix). A conundrum. I probably won’t watch, because I will catch myself rooting for the Pirates, and then I will feel guilty.

  5. Westside guy on June 25th, 2013 2:23 pm

    Scraps,

    If you root for the Pirates this series, I would argue that – in a long-term sense – you are actually rooting for the Mariners! See, the more they lose, the more it’s likely Z and Wedge will be gone soon.

  6. WalterNeff on June 25th, 2013 3:06 pm

    Frankly, I hope Travis hits 3 HRs

  7. Gary Gramson on June 25th, 2013 3:28 pm

    M’s don’t match up well with Angels for some reason, but everyone else seems to. M’s split first series with Pirates. Probably will do at least that this time.

  8. Xteve X on June 25th, 2013 4:21 pm

    Ackley recalled from AAA and Guti to the 15-day DL with a hammy strain per many sources.

  9. Westside guy on June 25th, 2013 4:24 pm

    We could have an interesting young-ish outfield tonight. But, instead, we’ve got IbaƱez-Chavez-Bay.

    In past years I’d went along with the idea that maybe some of these guys were being auditioned with the goal of trading them to a contender. Now, I’ve finally come to realize that Wedge is simply an idiot, and Z is apparently his pupil.

  10. jak924 on June 25th, 2013 5:01 pm

    Think Guti should look for another line of work. He’s just not that into it.

  11. scraps on June 25th, 2013 6:41 pm

    “Think Guti should look for another line of work.”

    I think — sigh — you’re probably right.

    “He’s just not that into it.”

    I think — contemptuous sigh — you’re full of bollocks.

  12. scraps on June 25th, 2013 6:42 pm

    Westside guy: Hey! [perks up] Thank you!

  13. pgreyy on June 25th, 2013 8:07 pm

    Forgot the game was on…flipped over to Root after watching a bunch of Top Gear on BBC America. Saw the score and, in Richard Hammond’s voice, my mind thought “Ahhh…that’s not gone at all well, then.”

    Flipped back to Top Gear.

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