Game 15, Mariners at Royals

marc w · April 11, 2019 at 10:59 am · Filed Under Mariners 

Mike Leake vs. Jorge Lopez, 10:15am

The M’s are 12-2. I know they’re facing the hapless Royals, but I guess I didn’t anticipate how many times I’d look over the probables and whatnot and just *expect* the Mariners to win. It happened yesterday, and even though the M’s did almost enough to somehow lose, they found a way to win. (Seriously guys, that was unnecessary. Just get back to dominating again.)

Today, they again face a Royals team that starts Terrance Gore in the line-up (and why wouldn’t they, after yesterday’s stunning 3-4 performance at the plate) and with a pitcher who seems destined for an ERA/FIP around 5 or so. Jorge Lopez came over from the Brewers a while back, and has good velocity with his four-seam and sinker. But despite throwing two fastballs, a cutter/slider, a change and a decent curve, there’s just not much there to get excited about. His walk rate’s high and his K rate is too low, and they’ve been that way for his entire career. The movement on each is unremarkable, and even the decent drop on his curve’s been more muted this year.

1: Smith, CF
2: Haniger, RF
3: Santana, LF
4: Encarnacion, 1B
5: Vogelbach, DH
6: Beckham, SS
7: Healy, 3B
8: Murphy, C
9: Gordon, 2B
SP: Leake


5 Responses to “Game 15, Mariners at Royals”

  1. mrakbaseball on April 11th, 2019 1:57 pm

    13-2? What the hell is going on?

  2. bongo on April 11th, 2019 5:03 pm

    Sorry to be a wet blanket but this isn’t a rerun of 2001. The 2019 Mariners lead the majors in run production but they also lead in errors and unearned runs. They are dead last in fielding percentage. Enjoy the dingers – but realize that the team needs to clean up the fielding for the good times to last.

  3. heyoka on April 11th, 2019 5:31 pm

    What the M’s?

  4. LongDistance on April 12th, 2019 1:36 am

    Jack Z must be in 7th Dingerheaven. I was, however, made curious enough to try to find out if there was a real correlation between home runs and winning seasons. Result? Sort of… maybe… and quite a bit of qualifying with pretty obvious connections between home runs and the need for good overall OBP, to consistently win. In other words, blah blah woof woof.

    Maybe best to just enjoy. Go M’s!

  5. heyoka on April 12th, 2019 2:38 am

    I figured this out once before: predicted runs scored can be roughly determined by obp x tb.

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