Game 12: Rangers at Mariners

April 12, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 85 Comments 

Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Yu Darvish, 7:10pm

Deep breath. Dave’s post below adds some sobering numbers to the ill omens so many of us have already seen. The team has plenty of time to stop producing said omens and start cranking out good ones, but this is a team with a hobbled offense and that’s going into the next 9 games with a good pitching match-up maybe once or twice. Hisashi Iwakuma’s been very good so far, but you can’t give him a true-talent edge tonight. So the M’s need to forget about true talent and steal some wins the way Houston did, and the way the White Sox (behind Dylan Axelrod) and the Rangers (behind Justin Grimm/Joe Ortiz) did.

It’s not completely crazy. As we’ve talked about here before, Yu Darvish has been pretty mediocre in his four starts against Seattle. For whatever reason, he’s allowed a higher OPS to the M’s than any other team he’s faced more than once. He had stunning command lapses both in his first home start and then last summer at the USSM/LL meet-up game; while he’s not exactly been a control pitcher to the rest of the league, he’s nibbled more against the hapless M’s offense last year than any other team. Maybe that irrational and small-sample oddity will continue! Ho boy, that would really be helpful. Darvish already has my favorite pitch fx page, with 8 distinct pitches, and an average velo spread between his FB and his slow curve of 24mph. Everything he throws has crazy movement, and he throws essentially everything. This might be a time to wait and watch a few pitches and hope several of them slide out of the zone. He really struggled in Safeco, just as he struggled in his one game in Oakland. Maybe he just really hates the cold? All of this is extrapolation based on miniscule samples, but remember: if we’re throwing out true-talent, we can’t get caught up in sample size or logical argument.

On the other side, Hisashi Iwakuma’s been struggling with a finger issue that’s hampered his ability to grip his splitter, far and away his best pitch. While it’s not exactly clear what pitch he grooved to Adam Dunn last go-round in Chicago, he’s got to keep the ball out of the center of the zone. It’s going to be interesting to see the movement on his splitter tonight, and it’s an important pitch for a guy looking to limit home runs. So far, there’ve been 15 HRs hit in the four games in Safeco this year, and a hobbled Iwakuma’s not the kind of pitcher who’s going to hold the Rangers homerless.

With a tough right-hander on the mound and injuries to Morse and Saunders, the M’s line-up is not going to strike fear in the Rangers’ hearts. We’ve wondered if we’d see an OF with Morse, Ibanez and Bay, but while that would be GIFable, it might also hit a dinger or something. Tonight’s OF is Ibanez, Endy Chavez, and Bay, and there’s really nothing to say about that. I understand why Wedge has deployed these players in these positions, and he doesn’t have a whole lot of choice, but the M’s are facing Yu Darvish, at home, with a starting pitcher who may not be 100%, and it *kind of makes sense* to start Ibanez/Chavez/Bay in the outfield. That’s why the M’s are in trouble in the short term. But if you’re going to steal a win, *steal* one. Make it hurt. The M’s felt like crap after dropping a series to the Rangers, and the M’s have the ability to do something similar to Texas tonight in their feeble, grizzled hands.

Line-up:
1: Chavez, CF
2: Bay, RF
3: Morales, DH
4: Ibanez, LF
5: Smoak, 1B
6: Seager, 3B
7: Shoppach, C
8: Ackley, 2B
9: Ryan, SS
SP: Iwakuma

Or, you know, check out the Rainiers home opener tonight at Cheney Stadium. Due to a combination of work and family commitments, I’ll be missing my first home opener in several years, which sucks – I make games started by Chaz Roe or Luke French, but I have to miss James Paxton pitching to Mike Zunino. But you don’t! I’m going to try and watch it, so if you’d like updates via milb.tv, follow me on twitter. If you’d like some updates from people at the game, check out Jason Churchill (@prospectinsider) and/or Mike Schwartze (@Mike_Schwartze). I’ll be there this weekend, but I’m not happy to miss Paxton tonight. If Paxton’s velo and stuff rebounds from where it was in Arizona in March, that really helps change the picture on the M’s rotation depth, especially with Erasmo Ramirez still ailing.

Jackson’s playing a double-header tonight, though they’re down early in game 1. Hector Noesi goes in game 2; hopefully he sees a repeat of his very encouraging first start. Clinton’s double-header today was rained out again. Send dry thoughts to the midwest; hopefully they can start their home season soon.

The Next Nine Days

April 12, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 37 Comments 

I’m going to make two statements about the team that are both true, even though they might seem contradictory:

1. It is too early to make any rash judgments about the quality of the team based on the first 11 games of the season.

2. The Mariners might be in trouble.

A 4-7 start isn’t the end of the world. Losing a series to the Astros doesn’t prove that the team is terrible. Michael Saunders getting injured isn’t a death blow for the franchise.

However, things are going wrong for the Mariners at the wrong time. Saunders is definitely out for the next few weeks, and Michael Morse is out for at least a few days, maybe longer. The Mariners are going to spend the next few days starting both Jason Bay and Raul Ibanez, and they’re not going to have anything resembling a real bench.

And their next nine games are against the two best teams — in my view, anyway — in the American League, and Felix is only going to start one of those nine games. This could get ugly.

The Tigers and Rangers are good teams. Let’s just say, for sake of argument, that they’re both .575 clubs, which translates to about 93 wins per full season. And maybe you were optimistic about the Mariners heading into the season, and you thought they were a .500 team. Now, though, you’re taking away Saunders and replacing him with Endy Chavez, and you’re taking away Morse and replacing him with no one. If you think those guys are both average players — it would be hard to think the Mariners were a .500 team and that both of those guys were below average — than taking them off the roster would push the team down to a .475 club, or somewhere in that range. The fact that they’re playing short-handed since Morse isn’t going on the DL is another bump down, so maybe the roster until he returns is more like a .470 club, since they have no flexibility and can’t play the match-ups with this roster.

Now, take into account that the .470 projection includes Felix throwing about 16% of the team’s innings. Over the next nine games, he’s probably going to throw about 8% of the team’s innings, so you have to move the needle down even more. With Aaron Harang or Blake Beavan filling the space, now you’re closer to a .450 club.

What are the expected outcomes when a .450 club plays nine games against a .575 club? You don’t just take the winning percentages for each team, since those are against a broad spectrum of clubs. Good teams beat bad teams more than the average, so we can use a mathematical tool called log5 to estimate the outcomes of that kind of match-up. And log5 says a that a .575 club would beat a .450 club 62.3% of the time, which rounds out to a 3-6 expected record over the next week and a half. In other words, if these estimates held, the Mariners would go to Houston on April 22nd with a 7-13 record in their first 20 games.

Baseball is a weird game. Maybe the Rangers fall on their face and the M’s take the next three and this all looks moot by Monday. We just saw the Astros pound the Mariners, and the Mariners are almost certainly a better team than the Astros. Maybe this nine game stretch won’t turn out so bad.

But, it’s not ridiculous to suggest that the Mariners could easily go 1-8 or 2-7 during this stretch either. This is a rough part of the schedule, and the Mariners are bringing a rubber knife to a gun fight. Attendance is already setting record lows, and frustration is starting to build with the fan base once again. The Mariners spent a lot of time during the spring selling hope, based mostly on the import of a few guys who could hit home runs and meaningless spring training numbers. That hope is taking a beating right now, and given what’s coming up in the next 10 days, it might get extinguished completely.

It is early, but sometimes, the story of the season is written early on. For a team with a veteran roster full of guys on one year contracts, the Mariners don’t have six months to let things get sorted out. The Mariners need to start putting some wins on the board, but now they’re going to have to get those wins with the end of the roster going up against the likes of Yu Darvish and Justin Verlander. Good luck.

Game 11, Rangers at Mariners

April 11, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 98 Comments 

Felix Hernandez vs. Justin Grimm, 7:10pm

The Astros series offered something of a no-win bargain: if the M’s won the series, or even swept it, eh, who cares? They were playing the Astros. If they lost it, oh my god, you just lost to the ASTROS? Today’s match-up isn’t no-win. Anytime you get to see Felix Hernandez, you’ve won. But if Felix pitches the M’s past Justin Grimm, eh, of course you won *that* game. And if he doesn’t, more and more fans will start to watch from home, or maybe give a Sounders game a go. I don’t envy the M’s here. The Supreme Court promotion tonight is great, and it shows that sometimes, rarely, the right ballplayer actually can put a dent in attendance numbers all by himself.

The context for the game is troubling, as it always is when these two teams face off. The Rangers are, in my opinion, one of the best-run franchises in sports. The M’s are…struggling, as they have been for several years now. Jack Zduriencik and crew clearly faced tremendous obstacles when they began their work in Seattle, and I don’t mean to minimize them in any way, but Bill Bavasi left in 2008, and it’s not impolite to point out that the obstacles the franchise faces now are largely self-imposed.

Everyone – every team in baseball -makes dumb trades. Jaso for Lueke comes to mind. So I’m not going to argue that Jon Daniels is a miracle-worker who out-thinks his rivals. He’s good, but that’s not enough. Where they seem to shine is in player development. They extract value from more players, and more *types* of players, than anyone. Justin Grimm is a decent example. The year he was drafted (in the 5th round in 2010, a few picks after Stephen Pryor), he pitched for the University of Georgia. He went 7-12 over three years with the Bulldogs, and gave up 138 runs in a bit over 180 total innings. He had a live arm, so-so control and zero command. In the Rangers system, he’s been excellent at every stop, coming out of nowhere to land in the top 10 of the Rangers top prospect list at Fangraphs (and the Rangers had a great system). I’m not sure what the Rangers have done with Grimm, and if asked, they probably wouldn’t say. But the Rangers took a talented kid who was quite obviously doing something, or several things, wrong and they fixed it well enough to get to the majors.

They’re not infallible. They’re still working on 2010 1st rounder Kellin Deglan, and Julio Borbon just got DFA’d as he never learned to hit. And every system has its successes – the M’s tweaks to Brad Miller’s swing mechanics appear to have paid off so far, and their work with Taijuan Walker has been excellent. But it seems like every time these series pop up, the Rangers are sloughing off some adversity by pulling up some nobody that they developed. Meanwhile, every time these series pop up, Mariner fans are worrying about their struggling blue-chip franchise-core players. Colby Lewis went from a joke of an acquisition to an extremely important starter to injured, but the Rangers had depth in someone like Alexi Ogando that they could move between the pen and the rotation. Borbon sucked, but they acquired Leonys Martin and developed defensive whiz Craig Gentry.

OK, enough meta-gloom (metancholy?). Justin Grimm is a fastball/curveball righthander with low-mid 90s velocity. He’ll mix in a change-up to lefties, but he’ll use the curve to both lefties/righties, especially once he’s ahead in the count. He had average-ish ground ball rates in the minors, but I’d expect they’d be lower in the big leagues, especially as he hardly ever throws his sinker. The M’s still aren’t a great on-base team, so as usual, they’re going to need a long ball or two this year (man, that’s still weird to type). Grimm hasn’t shown much in the way of exceptional splits, so the M’s aren’t loading up with as many lefties as they could. So of that is by choice (see below), and some of that has to do with Michael Saunders’ shoulder.

In 2010-2011, the idea of Dustin Ackley facing a guy like this would’ve made us excited. Now, while I’m definitely leaning a little closer when Ackley’s up, it’s for slightly different reasons. Tonight, he’s got the day off, against a righty. Gotta be flexible. Gotta get everyone out there.

Line-up:
1: Gutierrez, CF
2: Seager, 3B
3: Morales, DH
4: Morse, RF
5: Ibanez, LF
6: Smoak, 1B
7: Montero, C
8: Andino, 2B
9: Ryan, SS
SP: King Felix

Saunders shoulder injury was severe enough that he’ll head to the DL for 15 days. Saunders himself said it wasn’t too bad, and described it as ‘day to day’ but the M’s wanted to bring in some help: they have apparently called up Endy Chavez who was off to a red-hot start in Tacoma (though several guys down there can say the same). They’ll need a 40-man move to do that, but I haven’t heard what it is.

The Tacoma Rainiers home opener is tomorrow night. You should probably go. All the dingers of the big club, with none of the ennui! Tonight though, they finish off their series in Sacramento, with Jeremy Bonderman on the hill, trying to keep himself in the discussion for pitching depth.

Two other M’s affiliates faced one of the most dreaded occurrences in the minors: rain-outs on home opening days. Jackson’s home opener’s off, and Clinton’s was scratched due to a water-logged field. Teams can count on great attendance only a few times a year, and so they do a collective rain dance around opening day, and generally try to get the game in unless the rain’s torrential. If you went to the first game in the redesigned Cheney Stadium, you know the phenomenon. The wind and rain that night were awful, and it had chased 60-70% of the fans by the 6th inning or so, but they were not going to suspend the park’s grand opening. I always wonder how many rain-out teams have on their big mid-summer games – the 4th of July in some parks, the 3rd of July in Tacoma. From what Mike Curto says, calling off one of those games can have huge financial ramifications.

That Old Time Feeling Returns

April 11, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 6 Comments 
MARINERS (4-6) ΔMs RANGERS (6-3) EDGE
HITTING (wOBA*) -6.0 (23rd) -1.2 -2.2 (20th) Rangers
FIELDING (RBBIP) 2.1 (13th) -10.1 6.8 (3rd) Rangers
ROTATION (xRA) -0.7 (17th) 0 9.5 (1st) Rangers
BULLPEN (xRA) -1.5 (22nd) 1.0 0.4 (15th) Rangers
OVERALL (RAA) -6.1 (20th) -10.4 14.4 (4th) RANGERS

Well that was an unpleasant series. Both for those of us at home and for the very few that sought out attending in person. After not selling out the home opener, the Mariners saw consecutive record low numbers of visitors on Tuesday and Wednesday. The performances on those days probably didn’t do much to convince those that did attend to consider it time well spent. Not only were the games lopsided, but they also dragged on to nearly four hours each.

And now we have some fallout from it as Kameron Loe goes away and Aaron Harang enters, probably displacing someone out of the rotation, I’m assuming Blake Beavan. The implosion on Tuesday made the Mariners wary about who was going to handle innings, but that’s not the only way the roster was exposed during the series. A serious lack of bench depth and proper pinch hitting options manifested itself and now they have Michael Saunders’ injury to contend with and the possibility of some truly horrendous outfield defense arrangements.

Speaking of the bullpen, it appears not so stellar thus far, but there are some encouraging fundamentals lurking under the surface level stats. Despite only an average-ish walk rate as a unit, the Mariners’ pen has been throwing pitches in the strike zone at the second highest clip in baseball. And unlike the team that’s best at that, the Rockies, the Mariners’ pen doesn’t also suffer from the league’s highest contact rate. In fact, the Mariners are league average there. So as far as throwing strikes and missing bats, the pen seems fine.

What they have been struggling with is when contact is made, it’s been rock hard. Hitters are getting lots of fly balls and lots of those fly balls have been pulled. They’ll need to improve on that a lot or else Kameron Loe won’t be the only home run-induced casualty.

Read more

Mariners to Acquire Aaron Harang

April 11, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 45 Comments 

I mentioned this as a pretty strong possibility yesterday, as Aaron Harang was hanging out in limbo after being DFA’d by the Rockies after they acquired him from the Dodgers in a cost savings maneuver. Harang was a pitcher without a team, and the Mariners are a team without good pitchers. The fit seemed fairly obvious. And so, today, Ken Rosenthal is reporting that the Mariners and Rockies are working through a deal that will bring Aaron Harang to Seattle, in exchange for an unnamed minor league reliever. You shouldn’t expect it to be anyone special — Harang is basically a salary dump.

So why would two teams dump a Proven Veteran (TM) that threw 180 innings with a 3.61 ERA last year? Especially after he threw 170 innings with a 3.64 ERA the year before?

Well, if you’ve been reading this blog for a while, you probably know that ERA isn’t a very good way to evaluate pitching talent. And, so, while Harang has posted decent ERAs in pitcher friendly parks in the National League the last two years, the underlying data that projects his performance going forward is, well, not very good.

Here’s his career in a table of data that tells a more accurate story.

Season IP BB% K% GB% HR/FB LOB% BABIP ERA- FIP- xFIP-
2002 78.1 13% 18% 31% 6% 71% 0.302 110 101 116
2003 76.1 6% 13% 41% 12% 66% 0.307 120 104 102
2004 161 8% 18% 42% 13% 73% 0.301 111 105 97
2005 211.2 6% 18% 39% 9% 75% 0.303 89 85 92
2006 234.1 6% 22% 39% 11% 74% 0.312 82 79 82
2007 231.2 6% 23% 40% 10% 74% 0.288 81 79 80
2008 184.1 6% 19% 34% 14% 74% 0.307 109 108 95
2009 162.1 6% 20% 35% 12% 76% 0.331 98 96 92
2010 111.2 8% 16% 37% 10% 69% 0.338 130 113 111
2011 170.2 8% 17% 41% 9% 78% 0.302 103 118 109
2012 179.2 11% 17% 39% 6% 72% 0.277 96 111 126

And here’s a graph of the two most important numbers in that table, and Harang’s career trend in those two rates:

HarangKBB

Aaron Harang was once very good. He didn’t walk anyone and he struck a lot of guys out, so his HR problem wasn’t too big of an issue. But, then, in 2010, he stopped striking people out, and now he’s turned into a guy who nibbles at the corners of the strike zone. His walk rate is up, his strikeout rate is down, and his success the last two years was almost entirely due to low HR rates. His career HR/FB rate is 10.3%, but last year, it was 6.3%, which allowed him to put runners on but not let too many score.

Unfortunately, HR/FB rate isn’t particularly predictive, and is nowhere near as predictive as BB% and K%, both of which suggest that Harang isn’t particularly good anymore. Mixed in with Harang’s below average ground ball rate, that put his xFIP-, which is park adjusted and relative to league average, at 126 last year. That’s basically replacement level. For context, Blake Beavan‘s career xFIP- is 117.

Now, that’s just one year, and Harang has been much better than he was last year before, so there’s a pretty good chance that Harang is better than Beavan. But, don’t be fooled by the ERA. Harang isn’t good, which is why the Dodgers dumped him and the Rockies had no interest in keeping him. He’s an innings eater trying to hang on to the remains of his career. As a #5 starter, he might be okay for a while, but he’s certainly not any kind of salvation. He’ll be better than Beavan, most likely, but not particularly good. If Erasmo Ramirez ever gets healthy, then Harang will also have to be better than Brandon Maurer to stay in the rotation. Harang might be better than Maurer too, the kid can’t figure out how to get his breaking balls to stop hanging in the middle of the strike zone, so maybe Harang sticks around for a while.

But, Harang is basically a worse version of Jon Garland, the guy who the M’s let go a few weeks ago. It’s the same idea, just without the same ability to throw strikes. Hooray veteran mediocrity.

In terms of the trade, I’ll withhold judgment until we know the financial aspects of the deal. Harang’s contract includes a $2 million buyout for 2014, which the Dodgers got the Rockies to be on the hook for in the initial swap. Hopefully, the Mariners got the Rockies to chip in on part of that, or else this move will end up reducing their payroll next year so that they can pay Harang to not pitch for them.

Update: The M’s gave up RHP Steven Hensley, a fringe prospect at best, who started the year in Tacoma’s bullpen. Because he wasn’t on the 40 man roster, they had to create a spot for Aaron Harang, so Kameron Loe was designated for assignment. That strongly suggests that a starter will be moving into Loe’s long relief role, and it makes far more sense for that guy to be Beavan than Maurer, given their development paths.

Podcast: Mariners Upset Us

April 11, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 12 Comments 

Welcome back, few internet listeners!

Jeff and I are here with another podcast. This one is more along the lines of our previous incarnations in that it’s quite a bit longer and meanders a bit from baseball. Surprisingly, we did not end up discussing volcanoes in any form or fashion. We did record this prior to last night’s game so that’s why there’s no discussion of Michael Saunders’ injury. If you’d like to imagine what the segment about Casper Wells would be like if we had waited a couple hours, just turn up the volume to 18 or something and insert a lot more curses.

Which is to say, there are already some curses in case you weren’t aware and were exposing your own or your children’s delicate sensibilities to these podcasts for some reason. Then again, you’re also probably exposing them to the Seattle Mariners so you have no right to complain about anything.

Podcast with Jeff and Matthew: Direct link! || iTunes link! || RSS/XML link!

Game 10, Astros at Mariners

April 10, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 170 Comments 

Blake Beavan vs. Brad Peacock, 7:10pm

Well, it’s almost certainly going to be better than last night’s game. Blake Beavan is going to try and spare the bullpen, and newly minted Mariner Bobby LaFromboise is on hand if he can’t.

Brad Peacock was traded from Oakland in the Jed Lowrie deal, a year after being acquired from Washington in the Gio Gonzalez trade. He’d posted great results in AA with the Nats organization, but hit a wall in the hitter-friendly PCL last year, posting a full-season ERA over 6. He’s an over-the-top right-hander with an extremely straight fastball – it’s almost a cutter. He throws that four-seamer around 93, and mixes in a curveball and a change-up. Thanks to his delivery and arsenal, he never showed much in the way of platoon splits, so if Mike Morse would like to continue hitting homers, he should go right ahead and feel free..wait, he’s not in the line-up?

Blake Beavan’s transformation into a ground-ball pitcher didn’t really work in his first start. Second time’s the charm?

Line-up:
1: Saunders, RF
2: Gutierrez, CF
3: Morales, DH
4: Ibanez, LF
5: Seager, 3B
6: Smoak, 1B
7: Ackley, 2B
8: Shoppach, C
9: Ryan, SS
SP: Beavan

Nick Franklin’s in the line-up today for Tacoma. He’d been out the first week with the flu or something.
Taijuan Walker’s pitching right now for AA Jackson, and Andrew Carraway goes tonight for Tacoma in Sacramento.

And The Moves Are…

April 10, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 29 Comments 

Casper Wells was claimed on waivers by the Blue Jays. So he’s gone and the M’s get nothing. I’m happy for Casper, though – Toronto is a great fit for him, as a park that really rewards right-handed pull power, and they’ve got an organization that will use him the right way. He’s probably going to top out as a good fourth outfielder who should play mostly against lefties, but he’s got value in that role, and he can help the Blue Jays. Glad to see him land in a spot where he has a chance to succeed.

Also, according to Ryan Divish, the organization is staying in-house for their pitching help today. Lucas Luetge will get optioned to Tacoma and be replaced by Bobby LaFromboise, so they’re swapping out one lefty for another. Luetge had a nice run as a LOOGY last year, but he’s not really much of a big league reliever, and he might not be back any time soon. Whether LaFromboise sticks around long term or they make another move to get a more legitimate long relief type guy on the roster — perhaps by acquiring a starter and moving Beavan back to the bullpen — remains to be seen.

One Move Coming, Maybe Two

April 9, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 29 Comments 

After asking the bullpen to throw nearly 200 pitches tonight, the Mariners are probably going to have to make a roster move before Wednesday’s game. Blake Beavan can’t be counted on to give the weary group a rest and the team doesn’t have an off day until Monday, so they’re likely going to need to bring in an arm who can work multiple innings in case things get out of hand again tomorrow. There aren’t any great internal candidates, unfortunately, so while we know one move is coming tomorrow, it might turn out to be two, or one larger move.

The one we know is happening is the finality of Casper Wells‘ new home. His 10 day DFA period ends on Wednesday, so the organization has to either trade him or lose him on waivers. The expectation has been that they’d end up trading him for some non-roster fringe prospect, but if they want a big league arm instead, the Rockies just acquired and then DFA’d Aaron Harang in a cost savings maneuver, so the M’s could potentially try to interest Colorado in some kind of Wells for Harang swap. The Rockies don’t need another outfielder, but they could probably get more for Wells than they could for Harang, and Harang is the most available Major League pitcher on the market right now.

Of course, he got moved by the Dodgers because he didn’t want to work out of the bullpen, so if the Mariners were going to bring him in, he’d probably have to take someone’s rotation spot. They might not be so inclined to kick Brandon Maurer back to the minors after just two starts, but they could potentially dump Kameron Loe and shift Beavan to long relief, a role which the organization hopefully learned is still needed given the lack of quality pitchers in the rotation.

Of course, the M’s could do something entirely different with Wells and still acquire Harang. Or they might not acquire anyone, and just choose to bring Hector Noesi back from Double-A for a few days for a just-in-case situation. Noesi’s not the only internal candidate, but he’s the guy on the 40 man who is already stretched out to pitch multiple innings and hasn’t started a game in the last few days. If they decided to go with a more traditional reliever rather than a long guy, Yoervis Medina hasn’t pitched in a few days for Tacoma. They do have non-trade options; they just aren’t very good.

Anyway, long story short, Casper Wells officially goes away tomorrow, and he might not be the only one. I wouldn’t be shocked if Kameron Loe’s days on the roster were over. We’ll find out soon enough.

Game 9, Astros vs Mariners

April 9, 2013 · Filed Under Mariners · 115 Comments 

Brandon Maurer vs. Erik Bedard, 7:10pm

Quick one while I attempt to cook some dinner.

Game two of the series, and the M’s face the second SP who was DFA’d at some point in 2012. So far, so Astros.

Brandon Maurer’s pitch selection in his first game was Madison Bumgarner-like. Pitching at home, and facing a team who’s striking out like Mark Reynolds in an eye patch, I don’t expect that pattern to change. I do expect better results, though.

Line-up:
1: Gutierrez, CF
2: Saunders, RF
3: Morales, DH
4: Morse, LF
5: Smoak, 1B
6: Montero, C
7: Ackley, 2B
8: Andino, 3B
9: Ryan, SS
SP: Maurer

The minor league rotations have turned over, so Danny Hultzen starts tonight in Sacramento. And I can report that Reds lefty Tony Cingrani is now up to 12 1/3 IP with no runs allowed on three hits, one walk and 21 Ks. Not too bad. Would love to see him face Mike Zunino right now.

« Previous PageNext Page »